EUR USD Forecast Today: 1 October 2026

EUR USD Forecast Today: 1 October 2026


EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

Verdict: SELL

All five timeframes now agree. The three charts that were waiting yesterday have turned down and built tickets.

Open and Closed Tickets

Timeframe Direction Entry Stop Targets Status
H4 SELL 1.13662 1.13659 trailing 2 of 3 Running, stop below entry
H1 SELL 1.13354 1.13358 trailing 1 of 3 Running
M30 SELL 1.13248 1.13323 trailing 3 of 3 All targets reached
M15 SELL 1.13234 1.13247 trailing 2 of 3 Running

What the Panel Says

Sells only, and now every chart is participating.

Eight targets show HIT across the four tickets. The M30 has completed all three.

Every stop on the page has trailed. The H4 stop now sits at 1.13659, which is below its 1.13662 entry.

The euro is trading around 1.1299, roughly 67 pips below where the H4 ticket entered.

This is what the indicator is showing, not a recommendation. Trading involves risk.

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New to these reads? Here is how the panel works, explained step by step: How to Read the Direction Sniper Panel


Yesterday I Told You What to Watch For

Let me start with the part that matters most, and you can go back and check the wording yourself.

Yesterday the daily and four hour were selling while M15, M30 and H1 were all pointing up. Three charts produced no ticket at all. In that post I wrote this:

So the next EUR USD ticket comes from M15, M30 and H1, and only when they finish rallying and turn back down. The fifteen minute usually turns first because it reacts fastest. The thirty minute confirms. The one hour follows. When all three rows go red while H4 and D1 are still red, you have the full alignment.

That is exactly what happened, inside twenty four hours.

All three turned down. All three built tickets. The status line on every panel today reads Sell on M15, M30, H1, H4.

I am opening with that for one reason only. Publishing a chart after a move is easy and means nothing. Publishing what has not happened yet, explaining the specific condition that would have to be met, and then reporting the outcome is the only version that is worth anything.

If the euro had rallied instead and those three charts had kept climbing, you would be reading that this morning, in the same detail.


Permission First

H4: DOWN. D1: DOWN.

Unchanged from yesterday. The gatekeepers never moved, which is the point. Daily and four hour trends do not reverse because the fifteen minute had a good afternoon.

M15: DOWN. M30: DOWN. H1: DOWN.

That is the part that changed. Every entry timeframe has now come back into line with the direction that was already granted.

Full alignment across all five charts. It does not happen every day, and when it does it means the short term has stopped arguing with the long term.


H4 Trade Ticket

EUR USD H4 Direction Sniper sell ticket with two targets reached and trailing stop below entry

Signal entry 1.13662. Trailing stop 1.13659.

Target 1 at 1.13296, hit.
Target 2 at 1.12930, hit.
Target 3 at 1.12564, still ahead.

Risk when this opened was 36.6 pips, putting the original stop at 1.14028.

Now follow what the stop has done across two days of published posts.

Yesterday it read 1.13806, which was 14.4 pips above the entry. The risk had already been cut by more than half.

Today it reads 1.13659.

That is below the 1.13662 entry. The stop has crossed the entry line. From here the trade cannot close for a loss, and it got there without a single decision from anyone.

Target 3 sits at 1.12564, another 42 pips below the current price. It may get there. It may trail out first and close with two targets banked. Both are acceptable outcomes and the ticket does not need the third to have done its job.


H1 Trade Ticket

EUR USD H1 Direction Sniper new sell ticket with Target 1 reached

Signal entry 1.13354. Trailing stop 1.13358.

Target 1 at 1.13037, hit.
Target 2 at 1.12720, which is 63.4 pips.
Target 3 at 1.12403, which is 95.1 pips.

This is a brand new ticket. Yesterday this chart had nothing on it but a verdict.

Risk at entry was 31.7 pips, putting the original stop at 1.13671. It has already pulled in to 1.13358, which is 0.4 pips above the entry. Effectively breakeven, and one target already banked.

Price is near 1.12996, about 35.8 pips in profit, with Target 2 another 27.6 pips below.


M30 Trade Ticket

EUR USD M30 Direction Sniper sell ticket with all three targets reached

Signal entry 1.13248. Trailing stop 1.13323.

Target 1 at 1.13144, hit.
Target 2 at 1.13041, hit.
Target 3 at 1.12937, hit.

All targets reached.

Risk at entry was 10.4 pips. The tightest ticket of the four, and the first one to finish.

That is worth sitting with. The chart with the smallest stop completed its full run before any of the larger ones did. Smaller timeframes resolve faster. They ask for less room and they give you an answer sooner.

A trader taking a third off at each level closed this entire position in profit with 10.4 pips of risk on the table at the start.


M15 Trade Ticket

EUR USD M15 Direction Sniper sell ticket with two targets reached

Signal entry 1.13234. Trailing stop 1.13247.

Target 1 at 1.13097, hit.
Target 2 at 1.12960, hit.
Target 3 at 1.12823, still ahead.

Risk at entry was 13.7 pips. The stop has come in from 1.13371 to 1.13247, which is 1.3 pips above entry.

Price is around 1.12982, about 25.2 pips in profit, with Target 3 just under 16 pips below.

Four Tickets, One Direction

Timeframe Risk Target 3 Result
H4 36.6 pips 109.8 pips 2 of 3 reached
H1 31.7 pips 95.1 pips 1 of 3 reached
M30 10.4 pips 31.1 pips All targets reached
M15 13.7 pips 41.1 pips 2 of 3 reached

One direction, granted once, at the top. Four different sized trades underneath it.

The M30 asked for 10.4 pips of risk and finished first. The H4 asked for 36.6 and is still running toward a target more than three times larger. Neither is better. They are different bets on the same correct read.

That choice only becomes available once the direction question is settled. Before that, switching timeframes is not strategy. It is looking for a chart that agrees with you.


Where the Next Trade Comes From

For the first time this week there is genuinely nothing to look for.

All four timeframes hold tickets. One has finished. Three are running with their stops trailed to entry or beyond. Every stop on the page is protecting profit rather than capital.

So the only thing that matters now is upstairs. If the daily or the four hour turns, the verdict changes and everything underneath it changes too. Until one of those rows goes from DOWN to UP, the euro stays in a sell only regime.

The next decisions are therefore exits, not entries. Does the H4 reach 1.12564. Does the M15 reach 1.12823. Does the H1 reach 1.12720. Or do the trailing stops take them out first and close them where they stand.

Every one of those outcomes is fine. That is the whole point of defining the targets and the stop before entry rather than deciding in the moment.

There is nothing to chase today. Four trades are working and the system is simply waiting for them to resolve.


The Method in Brief

Five steps, the same every day, on every pair.

One. The daily and four hour decide direction. They grant permission or they withhold it.

Two. Once a verdict exists, every shorter timeframe hunts only in that direction.

Three. When an entry timeframe agrees, the panel builds a complete ticket: entry, stop, and three targets at one, two and three times the risk.

Four. Size the position from the ticket’s own risk number, not from the timeframe.

Five. When the label changes to TRAILING STOP, the trade has passed its starting risk and the level manages itself from there.

That is the entire system. There is nothing else to learn.


Get the Same Panel on Your Charts

Everything in this post came off four screenshots, and every number on them was generated automatically.

Four entry prices. Four stops, every one of which has moved itself to a better position since entry, two of them past the entry line entirely. Twelve targets calculated from the risk on each ticket. Eight of them marked HIT without anyone having to check.

And yesterday, on these same four charts, three of them issued nothing at all and waited.

No lines drawn by hand. No indicators stacked on top of each other. No waiting for someone to publish an analysis before you know what the euro is doing.

You are reading this after the fact. Direction Sniper puts the same panel on your own MetaTrader charts, live, while the market is still moving.

GET DIRECTION SNIPER EURUSD EDITION

One more thing, because it matters more than any feature.

Tickets get stopped out. Three of the four above are still open and any of them can still trail out below their final target. When that happens you will see it on this site with the same numbers and the same honesty as the eight targets reported today, because a record with no losses in it is not a record, it is marketing.

The reason a stop sits on every ticket is that some of them will be hit. That is the deal, and any tool that pretends otherwise is selling you something that does not exist.


Trading involves risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results. This post illustrates how the Direction Sniper indicator displays trades and is not a recommendation to trade. Nothing here is financial advice.

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